Has the housing market reached its top?
This year 31,439 auctions were held from April to June. Auction volumes remain substantially high with the June 2022 quarter as the second highest volume on record behind June 2021.
Whilst this auction volume demonstrates that the market is still extremely active, clearance rates are beginning to fall drastically according to RPdata. It is reported that the preliminary clearance rate for July has fallen substantially in all major Australian cities. More importantly, the preliminary July numbers show that there could potentially be a higher total auction volume this quarter than last year which indicates a larger supply of properties for sale than last year (see figure 1).
Figure 1. Demonstrates the fall in clearance rates from a week in July in 2021 compared to 2022. Source: RPdata
What does this mean for the housing market?
Currently the RBA cash rate has risen to 1.35%. Subsequently, we are seeing bank interest rates for home loans rise steadily over the last few months to account for these changes. This means that the everyday Australians have a reduced capacity to borrow and spend because it will be harder to service the debt. Accessible debt is becoming more expensive, more people are trying to sell as indicative by auction volume.
However, RPdata indicates that the clearance rate remains below 60%, indicating fewer people are looking to buy. In a housing market where the supply of homes on the market is rising and clearance rates are down from previous highs (demand falling), analysts at CoreLogic have predicted a downtrend in the housing market. Sydney house prices have dropped 1.6% in the past month and Melbourne fell 1.1%. This trend will likely continue into the foreseeable future as the RBA continues to lift interest rates making debt move expensive.
Subscribe to our newsletter
Disclaimer: This article does not constitute financial advice nor a recommendation to invest in the securities listed. The information presented is intended to be of a factual nature only. Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance. As always, do your own research and consider seeking financial, legal and taxation advice before investing.
SMSFs can no longer borrow to buy residential property. A clear look at what changed, the 45-day window to act, and what it means for your retirement strategy.
What made RPMGlobal (ASX: RUL) worth $1.1B to Caterpillar? Explore the SaaS transition, the 5-year hold & the long-term ASX investing lessons from this deal.
About Alibaba Group Holding Ltd Alibaba Group Holding Limited, through its subsidiaries, provides technology infrastructure and marketing reach to help merchants, brands, retailers, and other businesses in the People's Republic of China and internationally. It operates through the Alibaba China E-Commerce Group, Alibaba International Digital Commerce Group, Cloud Intelligence Group, and All Others segments. The Alibaba China E-commerce Group segment operates Taobao and Tmall, which are digital retail platforms; Taobao Instant Commerce, a local services and on-demand delivery platform; 1688.com, a domestic wholesale marketplace; and Xianyu, a consumer-to-consumer community and marketplace for idle goods. Its Alibaba International Digital Commerce Group segment includes AliExpress, a global e-commerce platform; Trendyol, an e-commerce platform in Turkey; Lazada, an e-commerce platform in Southeast Asia; Daraz, an e-commerce platform in South Asia, primarily in Pakistan and Bangladesh; and Alibaba.com, an integrated international online wholesale marketplace. The Cloud Intelligence Group segment offers a suite of cloud services based on infrastructure-as-a-service, platform-as-a-service, and model-as-a-service. Its All Others segment comprises Amap, a provider of mobile digital maps, navigation, and real-time traffic information in China; Cainiao, which provides logistics solutions; Youku, an online long-form video platform in China; Freshippo, a retail platform for groceries and fresh goods; and Alibaba Health, a pharmaceutical and healthcare services platform. Alibaba Group Holding Limited was incorporated in 1999 and is based in Hangzhou, China. Source: EODHD Key Stats
About Technology One Ltd Technology One Limited engages in the development, marketing, sale, implementation, and support of integrated enterprise business software solutions in Australia and internationally. It operates through Software and Consulting segments. The company offers various business software solutions, including business analytics, app builder, corporate performance management, curriculum, DxP local government, DxP Student, DxP Essentials, enterprise asset management, enterprise budgeting, enterprise cash receipting, enterprise content management, financials, human resources and payroll, performance planning, property and rating, spatial, student management, timetabling and scheduling, and supply chain management. It serves local government, education, government, health and community services, asset and project intensive, and financial services and corporate organizations. Technology One Limited was incorporated in 1983 and is headquartered in Fortitude Valley, Australia. Source: EODHD Key Stats
About Crowdstrike Holdings Inc CrowdStrike Holdings, Inc. provides cybersecurity solutions in the United States and internationally. Its unified platform provides cloud-delivered protection of endpoints, cloud workloads, identity, and data through a software as a service (SaaS) subscription-based model. The company offers corporate endpoint and cloud workload security, managed security, security and vulnerability management, IT operations management, identity protection, threat intelligence, data protection, SaaS security posture management, and AI powered workflow automation, and securing generative AI workload services, as well as security orchestration, automation, and response; and security information and event management, and log management services. It primarily sells subscriptions to its Falcon platform and cloud modules. The company has a strategic alliance with Cognizant Technology Solutions Corporation to help enterprises secure artificial intelligence across its lifecycle, from the AI agents and models to the foundational infrastructure that supports the entire AI ecosystem. The company was incorporated in 2011 and is headquartered in Austin, Texas. Source: EODHD Key Stats
The RBA held the cash rate at 4.35% after three straight rate increases, but kept the door open to further tightening. Here's what the pause means for investors.
About WiseTech Global Ltd WiseTech Global Limited engages in the development and provision of software solutions to the logistics execution industry in the Americas, the Asia Pacific, Europe, the Middle East, and Africa. It develops, sells, and implements software solutions that enable and empower logistics service providers to facilitate the movement and storage of goods and information. The company offers various software solutions for forwarding and customs, landside logistics, digital documents, transport and specialist warehouse management system, carrier and rates, and enterprise. WiseTech Global Limited was incorporated in 1994 and is based in Alexandria, Australia. Source: EODHD Key Stats
US-Iran tensions are rattling global markets. Discover how the the latest escalation could affect oil prices, inflation, interest rates and equity markets.
About Medtronic Plc Medtronic plc develops, manufactures, and sells device-based medical therapies to healthcare systems, physicians, clinicians, and patients in the United States, Ireland, and internationally. The Cardiovascular Portfolio segment offers implantable cardiac pacemakers, cardioverter defibrillators, and cardiac resynchronization therapy devices; cardiac ablation products; insertable cardiac monitor systems; TYRX products; and remote monitoring and patient-centered software. It also provides aortic valves, surgical valve replacement and repair products, endovascular stent grafts and accessories, and transcatheter pulmonary valves, and percutaneous coronary intervention products, percutaneous angioplasty balloons, and other products. The Neuroscience Portfolio segment offers medical devices and implants, biologic solutions, spinal cord stimulation and brain modulation systems, implantable drug infusion systems, and interventional products, as well as nerve ablation system under the Accurian name. The segment offers its products for spinal surgeons, neurosurgeons, neurologists, pain management specialists, anesthesiologists, orthopedic surgeons, urologists, urogynecologists, and interventional radiologists, as well as ear, nose, and throat specialists, and energy surgical instruments. The Medical Surgical Portfolio segment offers surgical stapling devices, vessel sealing instruments, wound closure and electrosurgery products, AI-powered surgical video and analytics platform, robotic-assisted surgery products, hernia mechanical devices, mesh implants, gynecology products, gastrointestinal and hepatologic diagnostics and therapies, and therapies to treat diseases and conditions, and patient monitoring and airway management products. The Diabetes Operating Unit segment provides insulin pumps and consumables, continuous glucose monitoring systems and sensors, and InPen, a smart insulin pen. Medtronic plc was founded in 1949 and is headquartered in Galway, Ireland. Source: EODHD Key Stats
About Costco Wholesale Corp Costco Wholesale Corporation, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the operation of membership warehouses in the United States, Puerto Rico, Canada, Mexico, Japan, the United Kingdom, Korea, Australia, Taiwan, China, Spain, France, Iceland, New Zealand, and Sweden. It offers merchandise, including sundries, dry groceries, candies, coolers, freezers, deli, liquor, and tobacco; non-food merchandise comprising appliances, small electronics, health and beauty aids, hardware, lawn and garden, sporting goods, tires, toys and seasonal, automotive, stamps, tickets, apparel, furniture, domestics, housewares, special order kiosks, and jewelry; and fresh food, such as meat, produce, service deli, and bakery products. The company is also involved in warehouse ancillary operations, which include gasoline, pharmacies, optical, food courts, hearing-aid centers, and tire installation centers. In addition, it engages in e-commerce, business centers, travel, and other businesses. The company was formerly known as Costco Companies, Inc. and changed its name to Costco Wholesale Corporation in August 1999. Costco Wholesale Corporation was founded in 1976 and is based in Issaquah, Washington. Source: EODHD Key Stats
